Chairman's Letter - 1980

Chairman’s Letter - 1980

BERKSHIRE HATHAWAY INC.

To the Shareholders of Berkshire Hathaway Inc.:

Operating earnings improved to $41.9 million in 1980 from

$36.0 million in 1979, but return on beginning equity capital

(with securities valued at cost) fell to 17.8% from 18.6%. We

believe the latter yardstick to be the most appropriate measure

of single-year managerial economic performance. Informed use of

that yardstick, however, requires an understanding of many

factors, including accounting policies, historical carrying

values of assets, financial leverage, and industry conditions.

In your evaluation of our economic performance, we suggest

that two factors should receive your special attention - one of a

positive nature peculiar, to a large extent, to our own

operation, and one of a negative nature applicable to corporate

performance generally. Let’s look at the bright side first.

Non-Controlled Ownership Earnings

When one company owns part of another company, appropriate

accounting procedures pertaining to that ownership interest must

be selected from one of three major categories. The percentage

of voting stock that is owned, in large part, determines which

category of accounting principles should be utilized.

Generally accepted accounting principles require (subject to

exceptions, naturally, as with our former bank subsidiary) full

consolidation of sales, expenses, taxes, and earnings of business

holdings more than 50% owned. Blue Chip Stamps, 60% owned by

Berkshire Hathaway Inc., falls into this category. Therefore,

all Blue Chip income and expense items are included in full in

Berkshire’s Consolidated Statement of Earnings, with the 40%

ownership interest of others in Blue Chip’s net earnings

reflected in the Statement as a deduction for “minority

interest”.

Full inclusion of underlying earnings from another class of

holdings, companies owned 20% to 50% (usually called

“investees”), also normally occurs. Earnings from such companies

48% owned - are included via a one-line entry in the owner’s

Statement of Earnings. Unlike the over-50% category, all items

of revenue and expense are omitted; just the proportional share

of net income is included. Thus, if Corporation A owns one-third

of Corporation B, one-third of B’s earnings, whether or not

distributed by B, will end up in A’s earnings. There are some

modifications, both in this and the over-50% category, for

intercorporate taxes and purchase price adjustments, the

explanation of which we will save for a later day. (We know you

can hardly wait.)

Finally come holdings representing less than 20% ownership

of another corporation’s voting securities. In these cases,

accounting rules dictate that the owning companies include in

their earnings only dividends received from such holdings.

Undistributed earnings are ignored. Thus, should we own 10% of

Corporation X with earnings of $10 million in 1980, we would

report in our earnings (ignoring relatively minor taxes on

intercorporate dividends) either (a) $1 million if X declared the

full $10 million in dividends; (b) $500,000 if X paid out 50%, or

$5 million, in dividends; or (c) zero if X reinvested all

earnings.

We impose this short - and over-simplified - course in

accounting upon you because Berkshire’s concentration of

resources in the insurance field produces a corresponding

concentration of its assets in companies in that third (less than

20% owned) category. Many of these companies pay out relatively

small proportions of their earnings in dividends. This means

that only a small proportion of their current earning power is

recorded in our own current operating earnings. But, while our

reported operating earnings reflect only the dividends received

from such companies, our economic well-being is determined by

their earnings, not their dividends.

Our holdings in this third category of companies have

increased dramatically in recent years as our insurance business

has prospered and as securities markets have presented

particularly attractive opportunities in the common stock area.

The large increase in such holdings, plus the growth of earnings

experienced by those partially-owned companies, has produced an

unusual result; the part of “our” earnings that these companies

retained last year (the part not paid to us in dividends)

exceeded the total reported annual operating earnings of

Berkshire Hathaway. Thus, conventional accounting only allows

less than half of our earnings “iceberg” to appear above the

surface, in plain view. Within the corporate world such a result

is quite rare; in our case it is likely to be recurring.

Our own analysis of earnings reality differs somewhat from

generally accepted accounting principles, particularly when those

principles must be applied in a world of high and uncertain rates

of inflation. (But it’s much easier to criticize than to improve

such accounting rules. The inherent problems are monumental.) We

have owned 100% of businesses whose reported earnings were not

worth close to 100 cents on the dollar to us even though, in an

accounting sense, we totally controlled their disposition. (The

“control” was theoretical. Unless we reinvested all earnings,

massive deterioration in the value of assets already in place

would occur. But those reinvested earnings had no prospect of

earning anything close to a market return on capital.) We have

also owned small fractions of businesses with extraordinary

reinvestment possibilities whose retained earnings had an

economic value to us far in excess of 100 cents on the dollar.

The value to Berkshire Hathaway of retained earnings is not

determined by whether we own 100%, 50%, 20% or 1% of the

businesses in which they reside. Rather, the value of those

retained earnings is determined by the use to which they are put

and the subsequent level of earnings produced by that usage.

This is true whether we determine the usage, or whether managers

we did not hire - but did elect to join - determine that usage.

(It’s the act that counts, not the actors.) And the value is in

no way affected by the inclusion or non-inclusion of those

retained earnings in our own reported operating earnings. If a

tree grows in a forest partially owned by us, but we don’t record

the growth in our financial statements, we still own part of the

tree.

Our view, we warn you, is non-conventional. But we would

rather have earnings for which we did not get accounting credit

put to good use in a 10%-owned company by a management we did not

personally hire, than have earnings for which we did get credit

put into projects of more dubious potential by another management

(We can’t resist pausing here for a short commercial. One

usage of retained earnings we often greet with special enthusiasm

when practiced by companies in which we have an investment

interest is repurchase of their own shares. The reasoning is

simple: if a fine business is selling in the market place for far

less than intrinsic value, what more certain or more profitable

utilization of capital can there be than significant enlargement

of the interests of all owners at that bargain price? The

competitive nature of corporate acquisition activity almost

guarantees the payment of a full - frequently more than full

price when a company buys the entire ownership of another

enterprise. But the auction nature of security markets often

allows finely-run companies the opportunity to purchase portions

of their own businesses at a price under 50% of that needed to

acquire the same earning power through the negotiated acquisition

of another enterprise.)

Long-Term Corporate Results

As we have noted, we evaluate single-year corporate

performance by comparing operating earnings to shareholders’

equity with securities valued at cost. Our long-term yardstick

of performance, however, includes all capital gains or losses,

realized or unrealized. We continue to achieve a long-term

return on equity that considerably exceeds the average of our

yearly returns. The major factor causing this pleasant result is

a simple one: the retained earnings of those non-controlled

holdings we discussed earlier have been translated into gains in

market value.

Of course, this translation of retained earnings into market

price appreciation is highly uneven (it goes in reverse some

years), unpredictable as to timing, and unlikely to materialize

on a precise dollar-for-dollar basis. And a silly purchase price

for a block of stock in a corporation can negate the effects of a

decade of earnings retention by that corporation. But when

purchase prices are sensible, some long-term market recognition

of the accumulation of retained earnings almost certainly will

occur. Periodically you even will receive some frosting on the

cake, with market appreciation far exceeding post-purchase

retained earnings.

In the sixteen years since present management assumed

responsibility for Berkshire, book value per share with

insurance-held equities valued at market has increased from

$19.46 to $400.80, or 20.5% compounded annually. (You’ve done

better: the value of the mineral content in the human body

compounded at 22% annually during the past decade.) It is

encouraging, moreover, to realize that our record was achieved

despite many mistakes. The list is too painful and lengthy to

detail here. But it clearly shows that a reasonably competitive

corporate batting average can be achieved in spite of a lot of

managerial strikeouts.

Our insurance companies will continue to make large

investments in well-run, favorably-situated, non-controlled

companies that very often will pay out in dividends only small

proportions of their earnings. Following this policy, we would

expect our long-term returns to continue to exceed the returns

derived annually from reported operating earnings. Our

confidence in this belief can easily be quantified: if we were to

sell the equities that we hold and replace them with long-term

tax-free bonds, our reported operating earnings would rise

immediately by over $30 million annually. Such a shift tempts us

not at all.

So much for the good news.

Results for Owners

Unfortunately, earnings reported in corporate financial

statements are no longer the dominant variable that determines

whether there are any real earnings for you, the owner. For only

gains in purchasing power represent real earnings on investment.

If you (a) forego ten hamburgers to purchase an investment; (b)

receive dividends which, after tax, buy two hamburgers; and (c)

receive, upon sale of your holdings, after-tax proceeds that will

buy eight hamburgers, then (d) you have had no real income from

your investment, no matter how much it appreciated in dollars.

You may feel richer, but you won’t eat richer.

High rates of inflation create a tax on capital that makes

much corporate investment unwise - at least if measured by the

criterion of a positive real investment return to owners. This

“hurdle rate” the return on equity that must be achieved by a

corporation in order to produce any real return for its

individual owners - has increased dramatically in recent years.

The average tax-paying investor is now running up a down

escalator whose pace has accelerated to the point where his

upward progress is nil.

For example, in a world of 12% inflation a business earning

20% on equity (which very few manage consistently to do) and

distributing it all to individuals in the 50% bracket is chewing

up their real capital, not enhancing it. (Half of the 20% will go

for income tax; the remaining 10% leaves the owners of the

business with only 98% of the purchasing power they possessed at

the start of the year - even though they have not spent a penny

of their “earnings”). The investors in this bracket would

actually be better off with a combination of stable prices and

corporate earnings on equity capital of only a few per cent.

Explicit income taxes alone, unaccompanied by any implicit

inflation tax, never can turn a positive corporate return into a

negative owner return. (Even if there were 90% personal income

tax rates on both dividends and capital gains, some real income

would be left for the owner at a zero inflation rate.) But the

inflation tax is not limited by reported income. Inflation rates

not far from those recently experienced can turn the level of

positive returns achieved by a majority of corporations into

negative returns for all owners, including those not required to

pay explicit taxes. (For example, if inflation reached 16%,

owners of the 60% plus of corporate America earning less than

this rate of return would be realizing a negative real return -

even if income taxes on dividends and capital gains were

eliminated.)

Of course, the two forms of taxation co-exist and interact

since explicit taxes are levied on nominal, not real, income.

Thus you pay income taxes on what would be deficits if returns to

stockholders were measured in constant dollars.

At present inflation rates, we believe individual owners in

medium or high tax brackets (as distinguished from tax-free

entities such as pension funds, eleemosynary institutions, etc.)

should expect no real long-term return from the average American

corporation, even though these individuals reinvest the entire

after-tax proceeds from all dividends they receive. The average

return on equity of corporations is fully offset by the

combination of the implicit tax on capital levied by inflation

and the explicit taxes levied both on dividends and gains in

value produced by retained earnings.

As we said last year, Berkshire has no corporate solution to

the problem. (We’ll say it again next year, too.) Inflation does

not improve our return on equity.

Indexing is the insulation that all seek against inflation.

But the great bulk (although there are important exceptions) of

corporate capital is not even partially indexed. Of course,

earnings and dividends per share usually will rise if significant

earnings are “saved” by a corporation; i.e., reinvested instead

of paid as dividends. But that would be true without inflation.

A thrifty wage earner, likewise, could achieve regular annual

increases in his total income without ever getting a pay increase

(his wage “dividend”) and consistently add the other half (his

“retained earnings”) to a savings account. Neither this high-

saving wage earner nor the stockholder in a high-saving

corporation whose annual dividend rate increases while its rate

of return on equity remains flat is truly indexed.

For capital to be truly indexed, return on equity must rise,

i.e., business earnings consistently must increase in proportion

to the increase in the price level without any need for the

business to add to capital - including working capital -

employed. (Increased earnings produced by increased investment

don’t count.) Only a few businesses come close to exhibiting this

ability. And Berkshire Hathaway isn’t one of them.

We, of course, have a corporate policy of reinvesting

earnings for growth, diversity and strength, which has the

incidental effect of minimizing the current imposition of

explicit taxes on our owners. However, on a day-by-day basis,

you will be subjected to the implicit inflation tax, and when you

wish to transfer your investment in Berkshire into another form

of investment, or into consumption, you also will face explicit

taxes.

Sources of Earnings

The table below shows the sources of Berkshire’s reported

earnings. Berkshire owns about 60% of Blue Chip Stamps, which in

turn owns 80% of Wesco Financial Corporation. The table shows

aggregate earnings of the various business entities, as well as

Berkshire’s share of those earnings. All of the significant

capital gains and losses attributable to any of the business

entities are aggregated in the realized securities gains figure

at the bottom of the table, and are not included in operating

earnings. Our calculation of operating earnings also excludes

the gain from sale of Mutual’s branch offices. In this respect

it differs from the presentation in our audited financial

statements that includes this item in the calculation of

“Earnings Before Realized Investment Gain”.

Net Earnings

Earnings Before Income Taxes After Tax


Total Berkshire Share Berkshire Share


(in thousands of dollars) 1980 1979 1980 1979 1980 1979


Total Earnings - all entities $ 85,945 $ 68,632 $ 70,146 $ 56,427 $ 53,122 $ 42,817

======== ======== ======== ======== ======== ========

Earnings from Operations:

Insurance Group:

Underwriting ………… $ 6,738 $ 3,742 $ 6,737 $ 3,741 $ 3,637 $ 2,214

Net Investment Income … 30,939 24,224 30,927 24,216 25,607 20,106

Berkshire-Waumbec Textiles (508) 1,723 (508) 1,723 202 848

Associated Retail Stores .. 2,440 2,775 2,440 2,775 1,169 1,280

See’s Candies …………. 15,031 12,785 8,958 7,598 4,212 3,448

Buffalo Evening News …… (2,805) (4,617) (1,672) (2,744) (816) (1,333)

Blue Chip Stamps - Parent 7,699 2,397 4,588 1,425 3,060 1,624

Illinois National Bank …. 5,324 5,747 5,200 5,614 4,731 5,027

Wesco Financial - Parent .. 2,916 2,413 1,392 1,098 1,044 937

Mutual Savings and Loan … 5,814 10,447 2,775 4,751 1,974 3,261

Precision Steel ……….. 2,833 3,254 1,352 1,480 656 723

Interest on Debt ………. (12,230) (8,248) (9,390) (5,860) (4,809) (2,900)

Other ………………… 2,170 1,342 1,590 996 1,255 753


Total Earnings from

Operations ……….. $ 66,361 $ 57,984 $ 54,389 $ 46,813 $ 41,922 $ 35,988

Mutual Savings and Loan -

sale of branches ……. 5,873 – 2,803 – 1,293 –

Realized Securities Gain …. 13,711 10,648 12,954 9,614 9,907 6,829


Total Earnings - all entities $ 85,945 $ 68,632 $ 70,146 $ 56,427 $ 53,122 $ 42,817

======== ======== ======== ======== ======== ========

Blue Chip Stamps and Wesco are public companies with

reporting requirements of their own. On pages 40 to 53 of this

report we have reproduced the narrative reports of the principal

executives of both companies, in which they describe 1980

operations. We recommend a careful reading, and suggest that you

particularly note the superb job done by Louie Vincenti and

Charlie Munger in repositioning Mutual Savings and Loan. A copy

of the full annual report of either company will be mailed to any

Berkshire shareholder upon request to Mr. Robert H. Bird for Blue

Chip Stamps, 5801 South Eastern Avenue, Los Angeles, California

90040, or to Mrs. Bette Deckard for Wesco Financial Corporation,

315 East Colorado Boulevard, Pasadena, California 91109.

As indicated earlier, undistributed earnings in companies we

do not control are now fully as important as the reported

operating earnings detailed in the preceding table. The

distributed portion, of course, finds its way into the table

primarily through the net investment income section of Insurance

Group earnings.

We show below Berkshire’s proportional holdings in those

non-controlled businesses for which only distributed earnings

(dividends) are included in our own earnings.

No. of Shares Cost Market


(000s omitted)

434,550 (a) Affiliated Publications, Inc. ……… $ 2,821 $ 12,222

464,317 (a) Aluminum Company of America ……….. 25,577 27,685

475,217 (b) Cleveland-Cliffs Iron Company ……… 12,942 15,894

1,983,812 (b) General Foods, Inc. ………………. 62,507 59,889

7,200,000 (a) GEICO Corporation ………………… 47,138 105,300

2,015,000 (a) Handy & Harman …………………… 21,825 58,435

711,180 (a) Interpublic Group of Companies, Inc. .. 4,531 22,135

1,211,834 (a) Kaiser Aluminum & Chemical Corp. …… 20,629 27,569

282,500 (a) Media General ……………………. 4,545 8,334

247,039 (b) National Detroit Corporation ………. 5,930 6,299

881,500 (a) National Student Marketing ………… 5,128 5,895

391,400 (a) Ogilvy & Mather Int’l. Inc. ……….. 3,709 9,981

370,088 (b) Pinkerton’s, Inc. ………………… 12,144 16,489

245,700 (b) R. J. Reynolds Industries …………. 8,702 11,228

1,250,525 (b) SAFECO Corporation ……………….. 32,062 45,177

151,104 (b) The Times Mirror Company ………….. 4,447 6,271

1,868,600 (a) The Washington Post Company ……….. 10,628 42,277

667,124 (b) E W Woolworth Company …………….. 13,583 16,511


$298,848 $497,591

All Other Common Stockholdings …….. 26,313 32,096


Total Common Stocks ………………. $325,161 $529,687

========== ==========

(a) All owned by Berkshire or its insurance subsidiaries.

(b) Blue Chip and/or Wesco own shares of these companies. All

numbers represent Berkshire’s net interest in the larger

gross holdings of the group.

From this table, you can see that our sources of underlying

earning power are distributed far differently among industries

than would superficially seem the case. For example, our

insurance subsidiaries own approximately 3% of Kaiser Aluminum,

and 1 1/4% of Alcoa. Our share of the 1980 earnings of those

companies amounts to about $13 million. (If translated dollar for

dollar into a combination of eventual market value gain and

dividends, this figure would have to be reduced by a significant,

but not precisely determinable, amount of tax; perhaps 25% would

be a fair assumption.) Thus, we have a much larger economic

interest in the aluminum business than in practically any of the

operating businesses we control and on which we report in more

detail. If we maintain our holdings, our long-term performance

will be more affected by the future economics of the aluminum

industry than it will by direct operating decisions we make

concerning most companies over which we exercise managerial

control.

GEICO Corp.

Our largest non-controlled holding is 7.2 million shares of

GEICO Corp., equal to about a 33% equity interest. Normally, an

interest of this magnitude (over 20%) would qualify as an

“investee” holding and would require us to reflect a

proportionate share of GEICO’s earnings in our own. However, we

purchased our GEICO stock pursuant to special orders of the

District of Columbia and New York Insurance Departments, which

required that the right to vote the stock be placed with an

independent party. Absent the vote, our 33% interest does not

qualify for investee treatment. (Pinkerton’s is a similar

situation.)

Of course, whether or not the undistributed earnings of

GEICO are picked up annually in our operating earnings figure has

nothing to do with their economic value to us, or to you as

owners of Berkshire. The value of these retained earnings will

be determined by the skill with which they are put to use by

GEICO management.

On this score, we simply couldn’t feel better. GEICO

represents the best of all investment worlds - the coupling of a

very important and very hard to duplicate business advantage with

an extraordinary management whose skills in operations are

matched by skills in capital allocation.

As you can see, our holdings cost us $47 million, with about

half of this amount invested in 1976 and most of the remainder

invested in 1980. At the present dividend rate, our reported

earnings from GEICO amount to a little over $3 million annually.

But we estimate our share of its earning power is on the order of

$20 million annually. Thus, undistributed earnings applicable to

this holding alone may amount to 40% of total reported operating

earnings of Berkshire.

We should emphasize that we feel as comfortable with GEICO

management retaining an estimated $17 million of earnings

applicable to our ownership as we would if that sum were in our

own hands. In just the last two years GEICO, through repurchases

of its own stock, has reduced the share equivalents it has

outstanding from 34.2 million to 21.6 million, dramatically

enhancing the interests of shareholders in a business that simply

can’t be replicated. The owners could not have been better

served.

We have written in past reports about the disappointments

that usually result from purchase and operation of “turnaround”

businesses. Literally hundreds of turnaround possibilities in

dozens of industries have been described to us over the years

and, either as participants or as observers, we have tracked

performance against expectations. Our conclusion is that, with

few exceptions, when a management with a reputation for

brilliance tackles a business with a reputation for poor

fundamental economics, it is the reputation of the business that

remains intact.

GEICO may appear to be an exception, having been turned

around from the very edge of bankruptcy in 1976. It certainly is

true that managerial brilliance was needed for its resuscitation,

and that Jack Byrne, upon arrival in that year, supplied that

ingredient in abundance.

But it also is true that the fundamental business advantage

that GEICO had enjoyed - an advantage that previously had

produced staggering success - was still intact within the

company, although submerged in a sea of financial and operating

troubles.

GEICO was designed to be the low-cost operation in an

enormous marketplace (auto insurance) populated largely by

companies whose marketing structures restricted adaptation. Run

as designed, it could offer unusual value to its customers while

earning unusual returns for itself. For decades it had been run

in just this manner. Its troubles in the mid-70s were not

produced by any diminution or disappearance of this essential

economic advantage.

GEICO’s problems at that time put it in a position analogous

to that of American Express in 1964 following the salad oil

scandal. Both were one-of-a-kind companies, temporarily reeling

from the effects of a fiscal blow that did not destroy their

exceptional underlying economics. The GEICO and American Express

situations, extraordinary business franchises with a localized

excisable cancer (needing, to be sure, a skilled surgeon), should

be distinguished from the true “turnaround” situation in which

the managers expect - and need - to pull off a corporate

Pygmalion.

Whatever the appellation, we are delighted with our GEICO

holding which, as noted, cost us $47 million. To buy a similar

$20 million of earning power in a business with first-class

economic characteristics and bright prospects would cost a

minimum of $200 million (much more in some industries) if it had

to be accomplished through negotiated purchase of an entire

company. A 100% interest of that kind gives the owner the

options of leveraging the purchase, changing managements,

directing cash flow, and selling the business. It may also

provide some excitement around corporate headquarters (less

frequently mentioned).

We find it perfectly satisfying that the nature of our

insurance business dictates we buy many minority portions of

already well-run businesses (at prices far below our share of the

total value of the entire business) that do not need management

change, re-direction of cash flow, or sale. There aren’t many

Jack Byrnes in the managerial world, or GEICOs in the business

world. What could be better than buying into a partnership with

both of them?

Insurance Industry Conditions

The insurance industry’s underwriting picture continues to

unfold about as we anticipated, with the combined ratio (see

definition on page 37) rising from 100.6 in 1979 to an estimated

103.5 in 1980. It is virtually certain that this trend will

continue and that industry underwriting losses will mount,

significantly and progressively, in 1981 and 1982. To understand

why, we recommend that you read the excellent analysis of

property-casualty competitive dynamics done by Barbara Stewart of

Chubb Corp. in an October 1980 paper. (Chubb’s annual report

consistently presents the most insightful, candid and well-

written discussion of industry conditions; you should get on the

company’s mailing list.) Mrs. Stewart’s analysis may not be

cheerful, but we think it is very likely to be accurate.

And, unfortunately, a largely unreported but particularly

pernicious problem may well prolong and intensify the coming

industry agony. It is not only likely to keep many insurers

scrambling for business when underwriting losses hit record

levels - it is likely to cause them at such a time to redouble

their efforts.

This problem arises from the decline in bond prices and the

insurance accounting convention that allows companies to carry

bonds at amortized cost, regardless of market value. Many

insurers own long-term bonds that, at amortized cost, amount to

two to three times net worth. If the level is three times, of

course, a one-third shrink from cost in bond prices - if it were

to be recognized on the books - would wipe out net worth. And

shrink they have. Some of the largest and best known property-

casualty companies currently find themselves with nominal, or

even negative, net worth when bond holdings are valued at market.

Of course their bonds could rise in price, thereby partially, or

conceivably even fully, restoring the integrity of stated net

worth. Or they could fall further. (We believe that short-term

forecasts of stock or bond prices are useless. The forecasts may

tell you a great deal about the forecaster; they tell you nothing

about the future.)

It might strike some as strange that an insurance company’s

survival is threatened when its stock portfolio falls

sufficiently in price to reduce net worth significantly, but that

an even greater decline in bond prices produces no reaction at

all. The industry would respond by pointing out that, no matter

what the current price, the bonds will be paid in full at

maturity, thereby eventually eliminating any interim price

decline. It may take twenty, thirty, or even forty years, this

argument says, but, as long as the bonds don’t have to be sold,

in the end they’ll all be worth face value. Of course, if they

are sold even if they are replaced with similar bonds offering

better relative value - the loss must be booked immediately.

And, just as promptly, published net worth must be adjusted

downward by the amount of the loss.

Under such circumstances, a great many investment options

disappear, perhaps for decades. For example, when large

underwriting losses are in prospect, it may make excellent

business logic for some insurers to shift from tax-exempt bonds

into taxable bonds. Unwillingness to recognize major bond losses

may be the sole factor that prevents such a sensible move.

But the full implications flowing from massive unrealized

bond losses are far more serious than just the immobilization of

investment intellect. For the source of funds to purchase and

hold those bonds is a pool of money derived from policyholders

and claimants (with changing faces) - money which, in effect, is

temporarily on deposit with the insurer. As long as this pool

retains its size, no bonds must be sold. If the pool of funds

shrinks - which it will if the volume of business declines

significantly - assets must be sold to pay off the liabilities.

And if those assets consist of bonds with big unrealized losses,

such losses will rapidly become realized, decimating net worth in

the process.

Thus, an insurance company with a bond market value

shrinkage approaching stated net worth (of which there are now

many) and also faced with inadequate rate levels that are sure to

deteriorate further has two options. One option for management

is to tell the underwriters to keep pricing according to the

exposure involved - “be sure to get a dollar of premium for every

dollar of expense cost plus expectable loss cost”.

The consequences of this directive are predictable: (a) with

most business both price sensitive and renewable annually, many

policies presently on the books will be lost to competitors in

rather short order; (b) as premium volume shrinks significantly,

there will be a lagged but corresponding decrease in liabilities

(unearned premiums and claims payable); (c) assets (bonds) must

be sold to match the decrease in liabilities; and (d) the

formerly unrecognized disappearance of net worth will become

partially recognized (depending upon the extent of such sales) in

the insurer’s published financial statements.

Variations of this depressing sequence involve a smaller

penalty to stated net worth. The reaction of some companies at

(c) would be to sell either stocks that are already carried at

market values or recently purchased bonds involving less severe

losses. This ostrich-like behavior - selling the better assets

and keeping the biggest losers - while less painful in the short

term, is unlikely to be a winner in the long term.

The second option is much simpler: just keep writing

business regardless of rate levels and whopping prospective

underwriting losses, thereby maintaining the present levels of

premiums, assets and liabilities - and then pray for a better

day, either for underwriting or for bond prices. There is much

criticism in the trade press of “cash flow” underwriting; i.e.,

writing business regardless of prospective underwriting losses in

order to obtain funds to invest at current high interest rates.

This second option might properly be termed “asset maintenance”

underwriting - the acceptance of terrible business just to keep

the assets you now have.

Of course you know which option will be selected. And it

also is clear that as long as many large insurers feel compelled

to choose that second option, there will be no better day for

underwriting. For if much of the industry feels it must maintain

premium volume levels regardless of price adequacy, all insurers

will have to come close to meeting those prices. Right behind

having financial problems yourself, the next worst plight is to

have a large group of competitors with financial problems that

they can defer by a “sell-at-any-price” policy.

We mentioned earlier that companies that were unwilling -

for any of a number of reasons, including public reaction,

institutional pride, or protection of stated net worth - to sell

bonds at price levels forcing recognition of major losses might

find themselves frozen in investment posture for a decade or

longer. But, as noted, that’s only half of the problem.

Companies that have made extensive commitments to long-term bonds

may have lost, for a considerable period of time, not only many

of their investment options, but many of their underwriting

options as well.

Our own position in this respect is satisfactory. We

believe our net worth, valuing bonds of all insurers at amortized

cost, is the strongest relative to premium volume among all large

property-casualty stockholder-owned groups. When bonds are

valued at market, our relative strength becomes far more

dramatic. (But lest we get too puffed up, we remind ourselves

that our asset and liability maturities still are far more

mismatched than we would wish and that we, too, lost important

sums in bonds because your Chairman was talking when he should

have been acting.)

Our abundant capital and investment flexibility will enable

us to do whatever we think makes the most sense during the

prospective extended period of inadequate pricing. But troubles

for the industry mean troubles for us. Our financial strength

doesn’t remove us from the hostile pricing environment now

enveloping the entire property-casualty insurance industry. It

just gives us more staying power and more options.

Insurance Operations

The National Indemnity managers, led by Phil Liesche with

the usual able assistance of Roland Miller and Bill Lyons, outdid

themselves in 1980. While volume was flat, underwriting margins

relative to the industry were at an all-time high. We expect

decreased volume from this operation in 1981. But its managers

will hear no complaints from corporate headquarters, nor will

employment or salaries suffer. We enormously admire the National

Indemnity underwriting discipline - embedded from origin by the

founder, Jack Ringwalt - and know that this discipline, if

suspended, probably could not be fully regained.

John Seward at Home and Auto continues to make good progress

in replacing a diminishing number of auto policies with volume

from less competitive lines, primarily small-premium general

liability. Operations are being slowly expanded, both

geographically and by product line, as warranted by underwriting

results.

The reinsurance business continues to reflect the excesses

and problems of the primary writers. Worse yet, it has the

potential for magnifying such excesses. Reinsurance is

characterized by extreme ease of entry, large premium payments in

advance, and much-delayed loss reports and loss payments.

Initially, the morning mail brings lots of cash and few claims.

This state of affairs can produce a blissful, almost euphoric,

feeling akin to that experienced by an innocent upon receipt of

his first credit card.

The magnetic lure of such cash-generating characteristics,

currently enhanced by the presence of high interest rates, is

transforming the reinsurance market into “amateur night”.

Without a super catastrophe, industry underwriting will be poor

in the next few years. If we experience such a catastrophe,

there could be a bloodbath with some companies not able to live

up to contractual commitments. George Young continues to do a

first-class job for us in this business. Results, with

investment income included, have been reasonably profitable. We

will retain an active reinsurance presence but, for the

foreseeable future, we expect no premium growth from this

activity.

We continue to have serious problems in the Homestate

operation. Floyd Taylor in Kansas has done an outstanding job

but our underwriting record elsewhere is considerably below

average. Our poorest performer has been Insurance Company of

Iowa, at which large losses have been sustained annually since

its founding in 1973. Late in the fall we abandoned underwriting

in that state, and have merged the company into Cornhusker

Casualty. There is potential in the homestate concept, but much

work needs to be done in order to realize it.

Our Workers Compensation operation suffered a severe loss

when Frank DeNardo died last year at 37. Frank instinctively

thought like an underwriter. He was a superb technician and a

fierce competitor; in short order he had straightened out major

problems at the California Workers Compensation Division of

National Indemnity. Dan Grossman, who originally brought Frank

to us, stepped in immediately after Frank’s death to continue

that operation, which now utilizes Redwood Fire and Casualty,

another Berkshire subsidiary, as the insuring vehicle.

Our major Workers Compensation operation, Cypress Insurance

Company, run by Milt Thornton, continues its outstanding record.

Year after year Milt, like Phil Liesche, runs an underwriting

operation that far outpaces his competition. In the industry he

is admired and copied, but not matched.

Overall, we look for a significant decline in insurance

volume in 1981 along with a poorer underwriting result. We

expect underwriting experience somewhat superior to that of the

industry but, of course, so does most of the industry. There

will be some disappointments.

Textile and Retail Operations

During the past year we have cut back the scope of our

textile business. Operations at Waumbec Mills have been

terminated, reluctantly but necessarily. Some equipment was

transferred to New Bedford but most has been sold, or will be,

along with real estate. Your Chairman made a costly mistake in

not facing the realities of this situation sooner.

At New Bedford we have reduced the number of looms operated

by about one-third, abandoning some high-volume lines in which

product differentiation was insignificant. Even assuming

everything went right - which it seldom did - these lines could

not generate adequate returns related to investment. And, over a

full industry cycle, losses were the most likely result.

Our remaining textile operation, still sizable, has been

divided into a manufacturing and a sales division, each free to

do business independent of the other. Thus, distribution

strengths and mill capabilities will not be wedded to each other.

We have more than doubled capacity in our most profitable textile

segment through a recent purchase of used 130-inch Saurer looms.

Current conditions indicate another tough year in textiles, but

with substantially less capital employed in the operation.

Ben Rosner’s record at Associated Retail Stores continues to

amaze us. In a poor retailing year, Associated’s earnings

continued excellent - and those earnings all were translated into

cash. On March 7, 1981 Associated will celebrate its 50th

birthday. Ben has run the business (along with Leo Simon, his

partner from 1931 to 1966) in each of those fifty years.

Disposition of Illinois National Bank and Trust of Rockford

On December 31, 1980 we completed the exchange of 41,086

shares of Rockford Bancorp Inc. (which owns 97.7% of Illinois

National Bank) for a like number of shares of Berkshire Hathaway

Inc.

Our method of exchange allowed all Berkshire shareholders to

maintain their proportional interest in the Bank (except for me;

I was permitted 80% of my proportional share). They were thus

guaranteed an ownership position identical to that they would

have attained had we followed a more conventional spinoff

approach. Twenty-four shareholders (of our approximate 1300)

chose this proportional exchange option.

We also allowed overexchanges, and thirty-nine additional

shareholders accepted this option, thereby increasing their

ownership in the Bank and decreasing their proportional ownership

in Berkshire. All got the full amount of Bancorp stock they

requested, since the total shares desired by these thirty-nine

holders was just slightly less than the number left available by

the remaining 1200-plus holders of Berkshire who elected not to

part with any Berkshire shares at all. As the exchanger of last

resort, I took the small balance (3% of Bancorp’s stock). These

shares, added to shares I received from my basic exchange

allotment (80% of normal), gave me a slightly reduced

proportional interest in the Bank and a slightly enlarged

proportional interest in Berkshire.

Management of the Bank is pleased with the outcome. Bancorp

will operate as an inexpensive and uncomplicated holding company

owned by 65 shareholders. And all of those shareholders will

have become Bancorp owners through a conscious affirmative

decision.

Financing

In August we sold $60 million of 12 3/4% notes due August 1,

2005, with a sinking fund to begin in 1991.

The managing underwriters, Donaldson, Lufkin & Jenrette

Securities Corporation, represented by Bill Fisher, and Chiles,

Heider & Company, Inc., represented by Charlie Heider, did an

absolutely first-class job from start to finish of the financing.

Unlike most businesses, Berkshire did not finance because of

any specific immediate needs. Rather, we borrowed because we

think that, over a period far shorter than the life of the loan,

we will have many opportunities to put the money to good use.

The most attractive opportunities may present themselves at a

time when credit is extremely expensive - or even unavailable.

At such a time we want to have plenty of financial firepower.

Our acquisition preferences run toward businesses that

generate cash, not those that consume it. As inflation

intensifies, more and more companies find that they must spend

all funds they generate internally just to maintain their

existing physical volume of business. There is a certain mirage-

like quality to such operations. However attractive the earnings

numbers, we remain leery of businesses that never seem able to

convert such pretty numbers into no-strings-attached cash.

Businesses meeting our standards are not easy to find. (Each

year we read of hundreds of corporate acquisitions; only a

handful would have been of interest to us.) And logical expansion

of our present operations is not easy to implement. But we’ll

continue to utilize both avenues in our attempts to further

Berkshire’s growth.

Under all circumstances we plan to operate with plenty of

liquidity, with debt that is moderate in size and properly

structured, and with an abundance of capital strength. Our

return on equity is penalized somewhat by this conservative

approach, but it is the only one with which we feel comfortable.


Gene Abegg, founder of our long-owned bank in Rockford, died

on July 2, 1980 at the age of 82. As a friend, banker and

citizen, he was unsurpassed.

You learn a great deal about a person when you purchase a

business from him and he then stays on to run it as an employee

rather than as an owner. Before the purchase the seller knows

the business intimately, whereas you start from scratch. The

seller has dozens of opportunities to mislead the buyer - through

omissions, ambiguities, and misdirection. After the check has

changed hands, subtle (and not so subtle) changes of attitude can

occur and implicit understandings can evaporate. As in the

courtship-marriage sequence, disappointments are not infrequent.

From the time we first met, Gene shot straight 100% of the

time - the only behavior pattern he had within him. At the

outset of negotiations, he laid all negative factors face up on

the table; on the other hand, for years after the transaction was

completed he would tell me periodically of some previously

undiscussed items of value that had come with our purchase.

Though he was already 71 years of age when he sold us the

Bank, Gene subsequently worked harder for us than he had for

himself. He never delayed reporting a problem for a minute, but

problems were few with Gene. What else would you expect from a

man who, at the time of the bank holiday in 1933, had enough cash

on the premises to pay all depositors in full? Gene never forgot

he was handling other people’s money. Though this fiduciary

attitude was always dominant, his superb managerial skills

enabled the Bank to regularly achieve the top position nationally

in profitability.

Gene was in charge of the Illinois National for close to

fifty years - almost one-quarter of the lifetime of our country.

George Mead, a wealthy industrialist, brought him in from Chicago

to open a new bank after a number of other banks in Rockford had

failed. Mr. Mead put up the money and Gene ran the show. His

talent for leadership soon put its stamp on virtually every major

civic activity in Rockford.

Dozens of Rockford citizens have told me over the years of

help Gene extended to them. In some cases this help was

financial; in all cases it involved much wisdom, empathy and

friendship. He always offered the same to me. Because of our

respective ages and positions I was sometimes the junior partner,

sometimes the senior. Whichever the relationship, it always was

a special one, and I miss it.

Warren E. Buffett

February 27, 1981 Chairman of the Board


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